Merrill Lynch in new $8.5bn cash call

July 29th, 2008

Merrill Lynch shocked the market last night when it moved to raise $8.5bn (£4.3bn) through a public share offering to shore up its balance sheet, sold $11.1bn of toxic mortgage securities and took a fresh $5.7bn write-down.

Merrill Lynch shocked the market last night when it moved to raise $8.5bn (£4.3bn) through a public share offering to shore up its balance sheet, sold $11.1bn of toxic mortgage securities and took a fresh $5.7bn write-down.

The move came only days after the Wall Street bank unveiled a $4.6bn second-quarter loss and write-downs of $9.4bn related to sub-prime mortgages and risky debts. The latest write-down brings Merrill’s total to $46bn, making it one of the biggest casualties of the credit crunch so far, along with rivals Citi and UBS.

Total write-downs announced by major banks around the world since the start of the crisis a year ago have hit $274bn, and some estimates suggest the figure could reach $1 trillion.

Deutsche Bank analyst Mike Mayo said Citi could post another $8bn write-downs from its CDO exposure, based on Merrill’s figures.

Merrill’s announcement came after Wall Street closed yesterday. Shares in Merrill had ended the day down 11.6% at $24.33, suggesting some traders knew what was coming. The shares rose 34 cents to $24.67 in early trading today, a rise of 1.4%.

Nomura, Japan’s largest brokerage, added to the gloom this morning as it posted a surprise ¥76.6bn (£355m) loss for the three months to end June, compared with a profit of ¥75.9bn a year ago. Revenues crashed 60% to ¥257.9bn because of a slump in trading and new stock offerings.

Merrill’s chief executive John Thain has come under huge pressure to restore financial stability and the bank’s credibility. It recently sold its 20% stake in the financial news provider Bloomberg to raise money and scrapped plans for a new headquarters.

Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund Temasek agreed to buy $3.4bn of the $8.5bn public offering. It emerged today that it will get a $2.5bn rebate on its stock purchase, and could end up with a stake of more than 10% in Merrill. Temasek already invested $4.4bn in the bank last December.

A key player in mortgage-backed collateralised debt obligations (CDOs), Merrill has been hit with huge writedowns after the instruments turned toxic.

Merrill said last night it would sell CDOs with a nominal value of $30.6bn – which it had already written down to $11.1bn – to Lone Star Funds for just $6.7bn. Combined with other new losses, this means the firm will record a pre-tax write-down of $5.7bn in the third quarter.

In addition to the CDO sale, Merrill also agreed to terminate all of its CDO-related hedges with XL Capital, the bond insurance group, and is negotiating settlements with other crisis-hit monoline insurers.

“The sale of the substantial majority of our CDO positions represents a significant milestone in our risk reduction efforts,” said Thain. “Our consistent focus has been to opportunistically reduce risk, and in order to take advantage of this sizeable sale on an accelerated basis, we have decided to further enhance our capital position by issuing common stock.”

Thain was appointed last year to turn around Merrill’s performance, replacing Stan O’Neal, who was ousted after losing the confidence of directors.

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July 29, 2008

UK banks dive on Merrill shock fundraising

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UK banking stocks today plummeted on fears of a new round of capital-raising after America’s Merrill Lynch last night revealed plans to bolster its balance sheet by raising $8.5 billion (£4.27 billion) and selling $11.1 billion-worth of high-risk mortgage-backed securities.

Shares in Barclays were down 6.35 per cent, or 21.7p, to 317.25p in early trading, while stock in Royal Bank of Scotland fell 3.7 per cent, or 7.65p, to 198.6p, and HBOS plummeted 4.9 per cent, or 14.5p, to 273.25p.

Simon Willis, an analyst at NCB Stockbrokers, said: “Anything that flags further capital-raising is bad for the sector”, while Nic Clarke, an analyst at Charles Stanley Securities, said: “It is a volatile time for UK banks and Merrill Lynch has not helped the sentiment.”

Merrill Lynch said it would record a $4.4 billion writedown in its third quarter from the sale of the securities, known as collateralised debt obligations (CDOs), or pools of mortgage bonds, in a disposal that represented the majority of Merrill’s remaining CDO portfolio.

Merrill said it planned to raise $8.5 billion by selling shares equivalent to more than a quarter of its market capitalisation in a move that will significantly dilute existing investors’ ownership.

Some $3.4 billion of the shares will be acquired by Temasek, the Singaporean wealth management fund. Temasek is already an investor in Merrill, after buying 87 million shares in December.

John Thain, Merrill Lynch’s chief executive, is pushing to reduce risk at Merrill, which has been particularly hard hit by the US housing crisis.

The group has made an overall loss of $18.7 billion in the past four quarters, after taking about $40 billion worth of writedowns on CDOs and other mortgage-related investments. Mr Thain called last night’s CDO sale a “significant milestone in our risk-reduction efforts”.

Shares in Merrill Lynch, which fell by 12 per cent in New York trading during the day after the International Monetary Fund said that it saw no end in sight for America’s housing slump, fell a further 5 per cent in after-hours trading following the group’s announcement.

Fears about Merrill Lynch and other US groups with large exposure to the housing market, such as Citigroup, American International Group and Fannie Mae, helped to drag down shares across the board.

The S&P 500 fell by 23.39 points, or 1.9 per cent, to 1,234.37, its lowest since reaching an almost three-year low on July 15. The Dow Jones industrial average lost 239.60, or 2.1 per cent, to end the day at 11,131.10.

Merrill Lynch acquired the CDOs that it sold yesterday for $30.6 billion. By the end of the second quarter this year, they had declined in value to an estimated $11.1 billion and Merrill agreed yesterday to sell them to Lone Star, the private equity fund, for $6.7 billion.

Mr Thain has also begun selling what he says are non-strategic assets to offset the sub-prime mortgage losses. Earlier this month, he sold Merrill’s 20 per cent stake in Bloomberg, the financial news and data group, for about $4.43 billion. He also sold a controlling interest in its subsidiary Financial Data Services for about $3.5 billion pre-tax to an unnamed buyer.

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Mortgage loans reach ‘record low’

The number of new mortgages approved for house purchases has fallen to its lowest level since current records started, Bank of England figures show.

The number of home loans approved in June fell to 36,000, down from 41,000 in May, as the slowdown continued.

The increase in total mortgage lending was also lower than many analysts had predicted, rising by £3.1bn in June.

The figures were released as a report for the Treasury outlined various options to revive the mortgage market.

Lack of supply

The number of home loans approved has now fallen for 14 consecutive months, the Bank’s figures show, and the figure is at its lowest since the Bank began reporting the data in its current form in 1999.

The credit crunch has reduced the availability of mortgages, especially to those house hunters who are unable to offer a large deposit.

But in recent weeks the cost of deals to new borrowers has been cut by a number of lenders, reversing the previous trend of rising interest rates on new fixed-rate home loans.

Unless the authorities take steps to restart the mortgage market… there will be more bad news in store for the both the housing market and the retail sector
Simon Rubinsohn
Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors

House prices, however, have continued to drop, according to most surveys, with the Land Registry the latest to register a fall in property prices in England and Wales.

Willem Buiter, a former member of the Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England, forecast further big falls in house prices.

“I expect prices to fall on average by about another 20% or so, bringing the cumulative decline from the most recent peak to around 30%,” he said in a blog on the Financial Times website.

An assessment of the outlook for mortgage finance was published on Tuesday by Sir James Crosby, the deputy chairman of the City watchdog, the Financial Services Authority.

One of the options outlined is for the taxpayer to guarantee to billions of pounds of mortgage market bonds to kick-start lending again.

Remortgaging

The Bank said that the number of loans approved for house purchases in June was 69% down on the same month in 2007 and 12% down compared with May.

In terms of the housing market, things could get worse before the Bank of England cut [interest] rates, given its focus on inflation
Vicky Redwood
Capital Economics

The number of homeowners remortgaging had also fallen, down to 84,000 in June compared with 90,000 the previous month.

Total mortgage lending showed its weakest rise for eight years, the Bank said.

The figures also revealed how much consumers were borrowing on credit cards and other loans and advances.

The amount of lending by financial groups on credit cards grew by £0.4bn in June, a smaller rise than in May. Lending on other loans also rose by £0.4bn, which was also a smaller rise than in June.

The mortgage market figures could have a knock-on effect on the High Street, according to Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist at the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors.

“Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that the High Street appears under increasing pressure with consumers scaling back purchases of a range of household goods,” he said.

“Unless the authorities take steps to restart the mortgage market, the likelihood is that there will be more bad news in store for the both the housing market and the retail sector during the latter part of the year.”

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How one woman avoided mortgage problems by moving into a shed in her parents’ garden

Interest rates

The depressed state of the housing market was also shown by figures released by the Building Societies Association.

The tenor of Sir James Crosby’s report suggests that there would be significant risks to the health of the economy from doing nothing
Robert Peston
BBC business editor

It said net mortgage lending by societies was down from £8.4bn in the first six months of 2007 to £3.4bn in the same period in 2008.

Analysts said the latest mortgage figures signalled further falls in house prices in the coming months.

Vicky Redwood of Capital Economics said she did not expect the Bank of England to cut interest rates soon.

“In terms of the housing market, things could get worse before the Bank of England cut rates, given its focus on inflation,” she said.

And George Buckley, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank, said: “Even if they [mortgage approval figures] don’t fall any further, these numbers are consistent with house prices continuing to fall quite rapidly.”

Earlier stories said that new mortgage approvals for house purchases were at their lowest level since 1993. The Bank of England has clarified the historical comparison because it changed its method of collecting data between 1993 and 1999.

Story from BBC NEWS:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/1/hi/business/7530432.stm

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July 29, 2008

UK mortgage slump set to continue until 2011

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The seizure in the UK mortgage market is set to continue until 2011, prompting a rise in repossessions, an influential review of the mortgage market said today.

Sir James Crosby, former chief executive of HBOS, who is carrying out the review for the Treasury, said that the “shortage of mortgage finance will persist throughout 2008, 2009 and 2010, and I suspect that current forecasts for new mortgage lending during this period will prove optimistic.”

As expected, Sir James ruled out setting up a US-style government-backed mortgage agency like America’s Fannie Mae to kick-start the UK market.

However, he hinted that British banks could be allowed to swap new mortgages for government debt.

This would extend an existing scheme that was introduced by the Bank of England in April, which lets banks exchange parcels of mortgages, known as mortgage-backed securities, to sell in the market for government debt.

Currently, the scheme only allows banks to swap mortgages that were on balance sheets at the end of 2007.

Sir James said in his report: “I am looking with some urgency at the full range of options identified by market participants for stimulating the supply.”

But he also said that it was “debatable whether this sort of approach would help or prolong the transition to better functioning markets in the long term.”

While hinting at some options to reignite the UK mortgage market, Sir James also said that doing nothing may be the best course of action.

“The costs of action needs to be set against those of inaction,” the report said.

Sir James’ report comes as mortgage lending for new home purchases plunged by 70 per cent in June to a record low, according to figures from the Bank of England.

Lenders have struggled to secure funding in the wake of the sub-prime crisis as investors shy away from mortgage-backed securities, which many banks and building societies rely on to raise finance for new mortgage deals. As they limit the loans they offer, lenders are cutting their risks by demanding hefty deposits, excluding all but the most cash-rich buyers from the market.

The lack of new mortgages has helped drag down house prices by more than 10 per cent since the market peaked in August last year, as buyers cut their asking prices to try and tempt buyers.

Sir James is due to issue his final recommendations in time for the Pre-Budget Report in October.

Money Central: 25 tips to sell your home in a recession

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Retailers suffer worst month in 25 years

* Larry Elliott, economics editor
* guardian.co.uk,
* Tuesday July 29 2008
* Article history

Britain’s retailers have suffered their grimmest month in a quarter of a century as deep price cuts in the summer sales failed to entice wary consumers into the shops, the CBI said today.

The monthly snapshot of the high street from the employers’ organisation found that 61% of businesses said activity was lower in July than a year earlier while only 25% said it was higher.

The CBI said the resulting balance of -36 points was the weakest since it began its distributive trades survey in 1983 and that retailers expected another dismal month in August.

Andy Clarke, chairman of the CBI distributive trades panel, and retail director of Asda, said: “It is turning out to be a very grim summer for many retailers. Pressure from higher fuel and food prices is prompting many people to rein in their spending, proving that value retailing has never been more important.

“The faltering housing market has really depressed sales of home furnishings and white goods this month and the high street is still struggling, but supermarkets are faring better.

“The retail sector will have to focus more than ever on providing good value to customers if they want to keep the sun shining this summer.”

Faced with consumer belt-tightening, the shops and stores surveyed by the CBI had been expecting July to be a poor month for business, but the negative expectations balance of -32 was far worse than the -7 points anticipated. In a potential blow to the rest of the economy, retailers said that they were slashing orders with their suppliers.

The reluctance to spend displayed in today’s report confirms poor recent trading reports from individual retailers such as Marks & Spencer and John Lewis. Only supermarkets and sellers of footwear and leather goods bucked the downward trend. The CBI said sales of big-ticket items were especially weak, with every respondent selling durable household goods and furniture and carpets reporting that sales were down on a year ago. Clothing retailers also suffered.

Howard Archer, economist with Global Insight, said: “The CBI’s July distributive trades survey is a real shocker, pointing to consumer spending starting off the third quarter very much on the back foot. Indeed, evidence is mounting that consumers are now reining in their spending appreciably in the face of seriously squeezed purchasing power and other significant pressures.”
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This article was first published on guardian.co.uk on Tuesday July 29 2008. It was last updated at 12:01 on July 29 2008.

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One Response to “Merrill Lynch in new $8.5bn cash call”

  1. iclosem Says:

    This financial crisis is spinning not only the U.S. but the world out of conrol. No one is immune to the effects of the mistakes that have been made.

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